UFC lives in the cage.

Angles, not a card

Four things worth pricing

• Bet the minute, not the name

  A heavy favorite who needs two rounds is a different bet than a first-minute finisher.

• Method is where the price hides

  If you cannot say knockout, submission, or decision, you do not have a fight read.

• Dogs after a slow first

  Live prices overreact to a wrestler’s first round. Only if the sim agrees.

• Distance vs finish

  Goes-the-distance is the clean prop when neither fighter gets finished. It is also a bad parlay leg.